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Final 2017 Academy Award Nomination Predictions

OSCARS

Tomorrow, ladies and gents, is the big day.  The day we’ve all been waiting for: the announcement of nominations for the 2017 Academy Awards.  This is my Christmas, perhaps my favorite day of the year.  So I will now lay down who will be nominated and what films will fill the slots for each category with a couple of alternates.

Best Live Action Short Film

Bon Voyage

Nocturne in Black

Sing 

Timecode

The Way of Tea

For those wondering, yes, there is a separate short film this year that also happens to be called Sing.  It’s not the animated film.  Anyways, Silent Nights and The Rifle, the Jackal, the Wolf and the Boy have also generated some buzz in this category.

Best Documentary Short Film

Close Ties

Joe’s Violin

The Mute’s House

Watani: My Homeland

The White Helmets

While I don’t go out of my way to see these shorts, these five have all generated some buzz.  I’ll list Extremis and The Other Side of Home as alternates.

Best Animated Short Film

The Head Vanishes

Inner Workings

Pearl

Piper

Sous Tes Doigts

These five seem pretty solid.  Don’t count out Borrowed Time or Blind Vaysha in this category, though.

Best Documentary Feature

13th

The Eagle Huntress

I am Not your Negro

The Ivory Game

O.J.: Made in America

This category will prove to be a competitive one this year.  In addition to these five I’ll say Cameraperson and Weiner as possible nominees tomorrow.

Best Foreign Language Film

A Man Called Ove

Land of Mine

Paradise

The Salesman

Toni Erdmann

For the alternates in this category, I’ll put down My Life as a Zucchini and The King’s Choice, though I’m pretty confident in these five.

Best Visual Effects

Arrival

Deepwater Horizon

Doctor Strange

The Jungle Book

Star Wars: Rogue One

For the most part, these are the expected nominees tomorrow.  I’ll say Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them and Captain America: Civil War also have a chance of getting onto the list.

Best Sound Editing

Arrival

Deepwater Horizon

Hacksaw Ridge

La La Land

Star Wars: Rogue One

These five sound pretty good to me.  I’ll also put down The Jungle Book and Silence as other possible nominees.

Best Sound Mixing

Arrival

Deepwater Horizon

Hacksaw Ridge

La La Land

Star Wars: Rogue One

While it’s kind of a risky move putting the same five down for both sound categories, I’m just not confident enough to predict anything else.  For alternates, I’ll put down The Jungle Book and Silence as well.

Best Film Editing

Arrival

Hacksaw Ridge

La La Land

Manchester by the Sea

Moonlight

These five are pretty solid, but don’t count out Hell or High Water or Silence.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Deadpool

Florence Foster Jenkins

Star Trek Beyond

These three are the odds-on-favorites for tomorrow, and honestly they all make sense.  I will say, though that A Man Called Ove and Hail, Caesar! also stand a chance.

Best Production Design

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Hail, Caesar!

Jackie

La La Land

Silence

There are actually many other possibilities in this category, but the two that stand the best chance are Arrival and The Jungle Book.

Best Costume Design

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find them

Florence Foster Jenkins

Jackie

La La Land

Silence

For the most part, these five are solid, though for the alternates Allied and Hidden Figures both have good shots.

Best Cinematography

Arrival

La La Land

Moonlight

Nocturnal Animals

Silence

Again these five all stand good chances, but there’s many possible nominees, and dwindling those down to two likely competitors, I’ll go with Jackie and Hell or High Water.

Best Original Song

“Audition” from La La Land

“Can’t Stop the Feeling” from Trolls

“City of Stars” from La La Land

“How Far I’ll Go” from Moana

“Try Everything” from Zootopia

This is always a weaker category for me, but I feel okay with these five.  There are two songs, though, that stand a solid chance of ruining this lineup: “Drive it Like You Stole It” from Sing Street and “Runnin'” from Hidden Figures.

Best Original Score

Jackie

La La Land

Lion

Moonlight

Star Wars: Rogue One

I think these five will be okay, but I’ll also put down Hidden Figures and Florence Foster Jenkins as the two most likely to take any of these down.

Best Animated Feature

Finding Dory

Kubo and the Two Strings

The Little Prince

Moana

Zootopia

These five I think just about everybody has down, but I’ll say The Red Turtle and Sing have the best shots of being included here.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Arrival

Hidden Figures

Lion

Moonlight

Nocturnal Animals

While there’s an obvious alternate here that many other people have in, I feel these five are stronger competitors.  In case you can’t tell, Fences is the script I’m talking about, and Hacksaw Ridge also has a possibility of getting in.

Best Original Screenplay

20th Century Women

Hell or High Water

Jackie

La La Land

Manchester by the Sea

I think these five are pretty solid, but I’ll list Captain Fantastic and Zootopia as alternates.

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Viola Davis, Fences

Naomi Harris, Moonlight

Nicole Kidman, Lion

Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures

Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

These five are perhaps the most solid five I have predicted for tomorrow.  The chances are slim, but these two ladies still have a chance: Janelle Monae for Hidden Figures and Greta Gerwig for 20th Century Women.

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight

Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water

Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins

Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea

Dev Patel, Lion

While initially I was cool with these five, I’m not gonna deny there’s a few different routes that can be taken here.  Both Aaron-Taylor Johnson and Michael Shannon have shots at getting nominated for the same movie: Nocturnal Animals.

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Amy Adams, Arrival

Isabelle Huppert, Elle

Natalie Portman, Jackie

Emma Stone, La La Land

Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

This has been the toughest category to predict this year.  We have these five, then a couple more to consider: Annette Bening for 20th Century Women and Emily Blunt for The Girl on the Train.

Best Actor in a Leading Role

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge

Ryan Gosling, La La Land

Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic

Denzel Washington, Fences

This is probably the second easiest to predict tomorrow for the acting categories, and I will say the two following could crash the party: Jake Gyllenhaal for Nocturnal Animals and Tom Hanks for Sully.

Best Director

Damien Chazelle, La La Land

Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals

Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea

Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

Denis Villeneuve, Arrival

This category will haunt me tomorrow.  While four of these directors seem very safe, that last spot or possibly even one of the safe ones could easily go to Martin Scorsese for Silence or Garth Davis for Lion.

Best Picture

Arrival

Fences

Hacksaw Ridge

Hell or High Water

Hidden Figures

La La Land

Lion

Manchester by the Sea

Moonlight

Nocturnal Animals

As we know, they can go up to ten, so I’ll put these ten in.  For alternates, I’ll list Jackie and Silence.

So there you have it.  I will be pretty busy tomorrow, so I’ll have a blog up as soon as I possibly can, but it might not be until mid-afternoon CST.  You can check other sources if the blog isn’t up yet, but when mine does go up, I’ll list who or what got nominated and how well I did.  To any and all others also predicting tomorrow, best of luck and cheers!  Let the nominations come!

 

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PlagmanRules
I am a gigantic movie nerd who spends his free time memorizing Oscar winners and nominees and seeing as many good movies as I can. I have always wanted to write about films, review films, and speculate on films, and hope that this site helps me get a couple of people who can agree or disagree with me.