There’s always a couple of surprises at the Golden Globes, and this year is no exception. A few days ago I put down my predictions for what would make it in at the Golden Globes, and now it’s time to see how well I did. We’ll just run down from the top what was nominated first, then say what I missed and what got left out.
Best Motion Picture: Drama
Hell or High Water
Manchester by the Sea
This was pretty good for me. I had Hacksaw, Manchester, and Moonlight getting in, but Silence and Fences were my other two picks. As you’ll see, Silence got absolutely skunked today, and Fences disappointed with only two nominations. Hell or High Water and Lion were in the running, but of the two Lion had more momentum. This is a big change for Hell or High Water, and the folks running that campaign must really be pumped now.
Best Motion Picture: Comedy/Musical
20th Century Women
Florence Foster Jenkins
La La Land
Again pretty good here. I missed Deadpool and Sing Street getting in, favoring Rules Don’t Apply and The Lobster, which both ended up with one acting nod and nothing else. I think this further solidifies La La Land as the clear frontrunner. It’s big celebration, 8 wins, at the Critic’s Choice Awards last night also fuels its path to the Oscars.
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals
Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
This wasn’t too bad for me either. Mel Gibson was a risky pick, and it paid off! However, I did kick out Kenneth Lonergan in favor of Martin Scorsese for Silence and Fences‘ director and lead star, Denzel Washington. However, I never would have guessed Tom Ford for this category! This is one that nobody saw coming.
Best Actor: Drama
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Joel Edgerton, Loving
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences
I got four out of these five. The only miss I had was Tom Hanks for Sully, but the real shocker is how Viggo Mortensen overcame a category switch at the last minute. He was in the Comedy/Musical category just a few days ago, and was switched out at the last second to drama, which from the ads makes no sense to me, that looks like a comedy movie. Good for him for landing the nomination, but few gave it that good of odds beating Hollywood icon Tom Hanks for that fifth slot.
Best Actress: Drama
Amy Adams, Arrival
Jessica Chastain, Miss Sloane
Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Again four out of five for these. I switched out Huppert for Emily Blunt in Girl on the Train, but then again, that film has lost steam and Elle is on the rise after Huppert won almost every Best Actress prize at the critic awards that have happened thus far.
Best Actor: Comedy/Musical
Colin Farrell, The Lobster
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Jonah Hill, War Dogs
Ryan Reynolds, Deadpool
Only three out of five this time, but I don’t think anybody had Jonah Hill getting in for War Dogs. While I liked the film more than most, it’s good to see him recognized. I also missed Hugh Grant in favor of Warren Beatty for Rules Don’t Apply, and I also had Don Cheadle in for Miles Ahead, but then again, he was announcing the nominees this morning, so I probably should have put someone else in.
Best Actress: Comedy/Musical
Annette Bening, 20 Century Women
Lily Collins, Rule Don’t Apply
Hailee Steinfeld, The Edge of Seventeen
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins
Thank the movie gods Hailee Steinfeld got in for this! I was worried she’d get overlooked, but she made it! Good deal. Also got four out of five here. Instead of Lily Collins I had Sally Field for Hello, My Name is Doris, but then again, that movie was out way early this year, so maybe I should have switched her out.
Best Actor in a Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Simon Helberg, Florence Foster Jenkins
Dev Patel, Lion
Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals
This was a genuine shocker. Where the hell has Simon Helberg been? Who is he? What role did he have? And who ran the campaign for Florence Foster Jenkins? Because they went above and beyond. Nobody has mentioned him all year long. Also, Aaron Taylor-Johnson has not been recognized for this role in a major awards show yet, and his co-star, Michael Shannon, has been the favored actor to land a nomination in this category. We’ll see if either of these two turn up again down the road. I had Liam Neeson for Silence and Lucas Hedges for Manchester by the Sea in their places.
Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Viola Davis, Fences
Naomi Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea
Four out of five for these gals. In the earlier blog I had put in Kristen Stewart for Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk, but just a day or two ago I switched her out for Greta Gerwig in 20th Century Women, but that didn’t pan out, either, so I guess I was wrong either way.
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea
I missed two of these. Guess which two? All right, you probably can guess, Nocturnal Animals and Hell or High Water. I had Loving and Fences in instead, but this was still pretty good.
Best Animated Feature
Kubo and the Two Strings
My Life as a Zucchini
I didn’t have official predictions for this category, but I would have thought Finding Dory was a likelier bet to get in, but I knew something like Secret Life of Pets or Sausage Party would get a slot, too, but never have heard of My Life as a Zucchini. Hmm, I wonder if we’ll see that one pop up again.
Best Original Song
“Gold” from Gold
“City of Stars” from La La Land
“How Far I’ll Go” from Moana
“Faith” from Sing
“Can’t Stop the Feeling!” from Trolls
Again, no official predictions for this category, but the songs from both Moana and La La Land are pretty well expected at this point. There’s always something weird that gets in here or at the Oscars that nobody sees coming, and I guess this year it’s the song from Gold, which I didn’t even know would qualify for a category like this.
Best Original Score
La La Land
This category was, you guessed it, another one I didn’t have official predictions for, but I knew La La Land and Arrival were likely bets, with Lion and Moonlight being also some good bets for Oscars, but I wouldn’t discount films like Star Wars: Rogue One for the score or even films like Hacksaw Ridge or Jackie which could also score here, if you get what I mean, come Oscar morning.
So count those up, you got La La Land winning the morning with seven nominations, followed closely by Moonlight with six and Manchester by the Sea with five. Also worth mentioning is the four nominations scored by Florence Foster Jenkins and Lion. Plus, no nominations for Sully or Silence is not good for those movies, and only two nominations for Fences isn’t welcome news for fans of that. Arrival only got two nods, but then again not everybody was putting that in for tons of notices this morning. And get this, Nocturnal Animals had more nominations than Fences or Arrival or Silence. I couldn’t have pegged that. Anyways, we’ll have more on this when we get close to the actual awards show, and we have the Screen Actors Guild nominations out this Wednesday, so I’ll have some final predictions for those coming up soon.